Let's pause for a moment to bemoan the fate of yuppies. Those poor
spoiled brats have fallen not only from favor but also, apparently, from
the heights of purchasing power. I, for one, find it a shame, because
yuppies, with their BMWs and weird dietary habits and leather-band
wristwatches, were kind of fun.
But I am not the only one sorry to see yuppies go. The auto moguls
are probably panicked. Yuppies helped create a whole new market for
upscale performance sedans, and up until a year ago it appeared that
every manufacturer this side of Sri Lanka was gearing up a zoomy
offering for them. The Europeans, understandably, had a leg up on the
competition. After all, yuppies revere good taste, and their antennae
naturally leaned toward the Continent and its mother lodes of good food,
good fashion and good cars.
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The BMW 320i was the linchpin of this market. It was boxy but brash,
mechanically subtle but sophisticated, stern but honest, and its
$20,000-ish price put it within the realm of yuppie lust. There were
other successful Europeans, including the Swedish twins, Saab and Volvo,
the four-cylinder Porsches and the Mercedes- Benz 190E. Among them, they
seemed to form the nucleus for a vast new market other manufacturers
were eager to pluck like a Christmas goose.
Along came Honda's Acura Division for a piece of the action, followed
by high-riding Ford Motor Co., with its Lincoln Continental and its West
German-built Merkur and Scorpio. The arena began to get a bit cozy. Word
arrived that Nissan and Toyota were about to launch entries. Uneasiness
struck the contenders, especially Audi, whose image had been unfairly
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battered by problems with unintended acceleration in its 5000 model, and
Peugeot, whose American marketing had never been effective.
But for a while everyone hoped that the yuppies could absorb the
burgeoning offerings. These were power shoppers, unafraid of staggering
debt in the name of status. They could be expected to accept the
obligation of more elaborate automotive purchases. Then, about a year
ago, came the three tsunamis that washed over these hapless pioneers of
conspicuous consumption. First were changes in the tax laws, which
limited business write-offs for expensive cars and gradually eliminated
the tax deduction for interest payments on car loans. Then Wall Street
caved in, depreciating the value of yuppie investments and triggering
massive devaluation of the dollar. That set up the final wave: increases
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in the costs of European cars approaching 30 percent. Yuppies are
borrowers, but enough is enough.
The decline in yuppie buying power has left considerable wreckage in
the car business. Consider these figures:
Compared with 1987, BMW sales are off 21 percent. Volvo is down 14
percent. Saab is selling 15 percent fewer cars here. Jaguar, which
concentrates solely on the over-$40,000 market, has lost about 8 percent
in sales. Mercedes-Benz is off 6 percent. And that's the good news.
Porsche is down 36 percent, and Audi is off a whopping 48 percent.
Sterling sales are off nearly a third, and Alfa Romeo and Peugeot are
each down about 27 percent. Maserati reportedly still has unsold 1985
models.
This is not a small market, either -- we're talking about a lot of
cars. Production of $25,000-plus automobiles is running at more than
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850,000 units a year.
So what are the upscale producers doing about the glut? Making even
more high-priced models, of course. BMW is entering the joust with a
dazzling new 5-series sedan to match its overpowering 12-cylinder 750i.
Audi is coming to market with a $50,000, V-8, four- wheel-drive sedan.
Toyota's ultra-high-tech Lexus and Nissan's Infiniti are already getting
rave reviews, and they won't be on the market for nearly a year. With
its legendary quick turnaround time, Honda is readying a powerful
second-generation Acura. Saab has just come to market with a superb
9000CD sedan, and Peugeot has introduced its fine 405 sports sedan. Alfa
Romeo has just hooked up with Chrysler for a North American marketing
deal and can be expected to launch a series of faster, flashier Italian
machines.
Ford is now a player with its zoomy SHO Taurus, and Mercedes-Benz has
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responded with a sleeker, sexier, better performing second edition of
its 190 series. Audi has introduced its new 80 and 90 models, fine
machines but slow starters because of lingering image problems and a
price that seems to be about $5,000 too high. Porsche is struggling
desperately to provide an alternative to its 944 models, which are being
eaten alive by better performing Mazdas, Nissans and Toyotas costing
half as much. BMW is in a fevered rush to update its aging 3-series,
while Mercedes-Benz, its rival down the autobahn, is thrashing to
counter the 750i with its own V-12.
None of it seems to make much sense. With such over-supply, some
manufacturers are certainly headed for severe financial difficulties.
The British used to pride themselves that their tony race meets at
Aintree and Epsom Downs attracted "the right crowd with no crowding."
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Here, in the luxury car business, we have the "right crowd very
crowded." It is a vista that brings a tear to many an auto exec's steely
eye and makes him wonder: Where are the yuppies now that we need them?
Can't somebody do something to revive them? This is an emergency!
Imagine all those lush, lacquered, lithe $30,000 super sedans sitting in
the showrooms, unwanted and unloved. How about a Yuppie Aid concert? Get
Bob Geldof on line two!
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